National Weather Service predicts dry 4th of July

  • Monday, June 30, 2014

Projected path of Tropical Storm Arthur as of Tuesday, July 1, 2014. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE


According to the National Weather Service, "The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly upgraded Tropical Storm Arthur, located just east of the central Florida Atlantic coast."

The image at the top of this article displays the current projected path of Tropical Storm Arthur. If the storm continues to follow this projected path, the center of the storm will remain in the ocean.

Current information also has the max wind speed at 40mph and the movement speed at 5mph in a NW direction. 

As of June 30, 2014

The National Weather Service's (NWS) latest briefing predicts a windy and rainy work-week but a dry 4th of July.

The latest briefing focuses on "potential tropical cyclone impacts."

By the numbers

According to the June 30th briefing, there "is a 60% chance within 48 hours and 80% chance within next 5 days" of cyclone formation.

Day by day

The national weather service, predicts "the system will be in the vicinity of SE South Carolina and SE Georgia by late Wednesday into Thursday as it lifts north, then continue toward North Carolina by Friday."

"I feel confident that..."

Of the current predictions, the Charleston section of NWS, expresses a high level of confidence in the following: Conditions are very favorable for development Models are in fairly good agreement regarding general direction of track, taking the storm near the Southeast coast. Surf zone will be impacted Rip currents, high surf, breezier/gustier conditions along the coast

"We're less certain about..."

Specialists admit a lower level of confidence in areas such as "exact rainfall amounts, impacts further inland, and timing" because "weather impacts are highly dependent on the proximity to the coast and strength of the system as it passes."  


Overall, the NWS reminds people to be aware of conditions, keep up with news reports, and plan ahead. If current predictions remain accurate then the "greatest impacts are likely to be late Wednesday through Thursday and the system could be out of the area by July 4th! Could be a hot, dry day!"

For information on hurricane and severe weather preparedness, visit www.charlestoncounty.org/guides.htm.

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